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Surf forecast for Bay Head

Tide
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Timezone:
America/New_York
Forecast updated:
01/07, 20:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260702 00z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260702 00z)
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Timeline

Tomorrow Thu 02/07 to Fri 03/07
No surf windows (2 days)
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More surf windows and day entries continue below

Bay Head Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Bay Head is a right-breaking New Jersey beachbreak over sand, shaped by short jetties and groins. It can offer some of the best tube-riding opportunities in the state, especially when the sand is lined up and a solid southerly swell is running.

The Bridge Ave area has slightly longer jetties than the stretch to the south, and on the right day it can produce fast, hollow, ruler-edged rights in shallow water.

When It Works

The optimal swell direction is south, with swell also working from northeast through east-southeast to south. Bay Head is usable from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

Autumn and winter are the main seasons, with September through March the key window. It is consistent, and can be almost world-class on the right day, though smaller swells are usually not as good.

Wind and Tide

The offshore wind direction is west.

Low to mid tide is generally best, while the spot can also handle more size around mid to high tide. A rising tide is better.

Local Tips

Bay Head suits intermediate surfers, mainly on shortboards and fish. Paddling is mellow most of the time, but rips can form around the groins on bigger days.

Crowds are heavy on good south swells and have built up in recent years, so do not expect to surf alone. The mile-long stretch helps spread people out, but some peaks can feel guarded.

Watch for crowds, groins, and crusty locals.

Access

Access is easy, but parking is limited. There is free roadside parking, metered parking, and restricted parking, and finding a spot can be a hassle in summer.

Tags and 10โ€“5 restrictions apply. Lifeguards are present, and the area is pretty clean overall.

Surf spots near Bay Head

Mantoloking
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Bay Head
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Jenkinson's
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant)
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Manasquan
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Bay Head?

Bay Head is usually best with swell from northeast through east-southeast to south (NE-ESE-S), ideally south (S) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, west (W) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Bay Head?

Bay Head is a surf spot in Bay Head, New Jersey, United States.

What is the surf break like at Bay Head?

Waves at Bay Head break right. Bay Head breaks over sand. Expect a busy crowd and a friendly lineup.

What season is best for surfing Bay Head?

The main surf season at Bay Head is autumn and winter.

What surfing skill level is Bay Head suitable for?

Bay Head can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Bay Head beginner friendly for surfing?

Bay Head is better suited to intermediate surfers.

What surfboards work at Bay Head?

Shortboard and Fish are common choices at Bay Head.

How consistent is the surf at Bay Head?

Bay Head is one of the more consistent surf spots in New Jersey, United States.

What facilities are available for surfers at Bay Head?

Facilities for surfers at Bay Head: lifeguard.

Is there parking for surfing at Bay Head?

Parking around Bay Head: free parking, metered parking, roadside parking, and restricted parking.

What surf spots are near Bay Head?

Other nearby surf spots are Jenkinson's, Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant), Manasquan, and Mantoloking.

What swell direction works for surfing at Bay Head?

Bay Head can work with swell from northeast through east-southeast to south (NE-ESE-S); south (S) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Bay Head?

Bay Head usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Bay Head?

West (W) offshore wind is usually best at Bay Head.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Bay Head?

West (W) is offshore at Bay Head.

What tide works best for surfing at Bay Head?

Bay Head can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.