Surfnerd Logo

Surf forecast for Chesterman Beach

Map showing Chesterman Beach
Wwvs
0.3ft 2s.
0kJ
Swl 3
1.2ft 13s.
73kJ
Swl 2
2.6ft 15s.
399kJ
Swl 1
4.1ft 9s.
395kJ
Wnd
1mph
3mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
America/Vancouver
Forecast updated:
06/10, 11:00 pm
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261007 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261007 06z)

Weather

Wednesday 07/10

Water temperature
53ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
54โ€“56ยฐF
On shore
52โ€“63ยฐF
Moon phase
Waning crescent
9% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 08:51 am
Tide range
0.2ft - 8.3ft
Low 04:54 am ยท High 11:18 pm
Next spring tide
Sun 11/10
10.3ft range
Next neap tide
Sat 17/10
2.9ft range

Timeline

Chesterman Beach Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Chesterman Beach is a sandy beach break near Tofino that needs a bit of size to break, since it sits fairly sheltered. The southern end is the mellower option and suits learners, while the north end picks up bigger, punchier waves. North Chesterman, known simply as "North," is the steepest and punchiest of the peaks here. It stays quiet through much of the summer, letting the sandbars build, so the autumn swells arrive to steeper, wedgier waves breaking close to shore. Offshore reefs and islets break up the swell lines to form peaks, but they also mean the spot wants more size to really come alive.

When It Works

The beach breaks over sand and draws swell from southwest through northwest, with west swell the best match. It works from 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.2 m / 4 ft. Best from autumn through spring, roughly October to April, it delivers short, punchy two-to-three-turn waves peeling both left and right. On bigger days, especially early in the season, expect powerful, dumpy inside sections to push through, though most days paddle out easily. It's a decent, dependable option when the swell lines up.

Wind and Tide

Look for east offshore wind, which clears the residual rip and bump and brings the spot to its best. It can work across all tides, softer at high and punchier and more walled at dead low, but a rising tide through the lower to mid range is generally the better call.

Local Tips

Beginners can find their feet at the southern end, and the beach suits shortboards, fish, and funboards. Expect a busy lineup, especially on weekends with travellers and beginners on rental gear, and thicker local crowds on bigger offshore days when options are limited. The atmosphere is somewhat reserved and can get competitive on standout days, but stays friendly overall.

Access

There's a surf school and surf shop nearby, plus a car park with free parking. Lots fill up quickly, often by noon in summer.

Surf spots near Chesterman Beach

Cox Bay - Vancouver Island
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Rosie's Bay
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Rosie Bay
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Chesterman Beach (South)
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Chesterman Beach
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Chesterman Beach?

Chesterman Beach is usually best with swell from southwest to northwest (SW-NW), ideally west (W) around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.2 m / 4 ft, east (E) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Chesterman Beach?

Chesterman Beach is a surf spot in Tofino, British Columbia, Canada.

What is the surf break like at Chesterman Beach?

Chesterman Beach is a left-and-right beach break over sand. Expect a busy crowd and a somewhat reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Chesterman Beach?

The main surf season at Chesterman Beach is autumn, winter, and spring.

What surfing skill level is Chesterman Beach suitable for?

Chesterman Beach can suit beginner surfers.

Is Chesterman Beach beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Chesterman Beach can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Chesterman Beach?

Shortboard, Fish, and Funboard are common choices at Chesterman Beach.

What facilities are available for surfers at Chesterman Beach?

Facilities for surfers at Chesterman Beach: surf school and surf shop.

Is there parking for surfing at Chesterman Beach?

Parking around Chesterman Beach: free parking and car park.

What surf spots are near Chesterman Beach?

Other nearby surf spots are Chesterman Beach (South), Rosie Bay, Rosie's Bay, and Cox Bay - Vancouver Island.

What swell direction works for surfing at Chesterman Beach?

Chesterman Beach can work with swell from southwest to northwest (SW-NW); west (W) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Chesterman Beach?

Chesterman Beach usually works with swell around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.2 m / 4 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Chesterman Beach?

East (E) offshore wind is usually best at Chesterman Beach.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Chesterman Beach?

East (E) is offshore at Chesterman Beach.

What tide works best for surfing at Chesterman Beach?

Chesterman Beach can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Surfnerd Logo

Login to your Surfnerd account

Log your sessions, save your favorite spots, and keep your surf forecast personalized.

Log in with AppleLog in with Google
or signup with email
Share
Join Surfnerd
Watch and save spots, log your sessions and set up the forecast your way. It's free.
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google
or signup with email
Surfnerd Logo
More good sessions. Less time wasted.
What you get
Free
SN+
Forecast range
5 days
15 days
Surf-window timeline
5 days
15 days
Watched spots
1
Compare forecasts
Not included
Model agreement
Not included
Related sessions
Not included
Custom spots
5
Compare all features
Free for 7 days. No payment details needed. One trial per account.

Open in the app

Scan the QR code to open the Surfnerd app

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"