Fox Hill
Hourly
Confidence
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Saturday 08
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/New_York
Wind: GFS (20251108 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251108 06z)

Fox Hill surf guide

Fox Hill is a well-known surf spot in New England, located across the bay from Rye on the Rocks. It's reputed to offer some of the best waves in the region when conditions line up. The point break stretches along the coast and features three take-off spots, which can be linked with a bit of skill. When it's on, you'll find hollow sections that provide room for maneuvering, predominantly with right-hand waves. It can handle swells ranging from 6ft to 15ft (about 1.8m to 4.6m), but be prepared to paddle out a bit further as the swell size increases. Just a heads up, the crowd can be heavy, so expect some intensity in the local vibe.

At high tide, the surf changes; it can turn into a fun peak at the top of the point, which is popular among longboarders seeking an alternative to the nearby break at The Wall. The take-off area is a bit limited, and word can travel fast, so snagging a few waves might become a challenge. There’s also a left-hand wave that can be quite tricky during overhead swells. If you can manage to ride the initial section, it can be a rewarding wave. Ideally, you’ll want to catch this spot when there's a west-southwest wind, and the tide is low to mid. This is definitely a place for intermediate to expert surfers.

Paddling out in the summer is pretty easy-going, but expect a much tougher experience come winter when the water and air are freezing. Make sure to keep an eye out for rocks, currents, and "lobstah" pots in the water. Parking can become a hassle quickly, so it’s best to get there early to avoid potential tickets for illegal parking.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Fox Hill

Costellos
New Hampshire, United States
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Fox Hill
New Hampshire, United States
Point break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Foxhill Point
New Hampshire, United States
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Linkys
New Hampshire, United States
Point break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Rye on the Rocks
New Hampshire, United States
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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