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Surf forecast for K38

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
America/Tijuana
Forecast updated:
02/07, 05:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260702 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260702 06z)
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K38 Surf Forecast Guide

K38, also known as El Morro, is a popular surf spot located in Mexico, known for its lively scene and consistent waves. While it can get very crowded, especially during peak times, surfers keep coming back for the quality surf. The spot is situated close to tourist developments, which sometimes adds to the hustle and bustle around it.

The surf here tends to favor a south swell, with the best conditions showing up on a stronger west to northwest pulse during low to mid tide. K38 usually handles sizes from 3ft (about 0.9 meters) and breaks over an uneven reef, mainly producing fast, hollow rights. There are also some lower quality lefts that can get shallow on the inside, but the rights are generally what most surfers come for. If you’re feeling adventurous, you can paddle over to K39, which offers an outside-breaking reef with some decent quality lefts and rights when the swell picks up.

When you're heading out, it's worth noting that the preferable wind direction is northeast, which helps keep the conditions clean. All surfers from intermediates can enjoy the waves here, as long as you’re mindful of the crowd and the reef below. The local vibe can vary, so it’s good to be respectful and share the waves to keep things chill.

Surf spots near K38

Las Gaviotas - Baja
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
K38
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
K-38
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break, Point break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Calafia
Baja California, Mexico
Point break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Alfonsos
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for K38?

K38 is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally south (S) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot K38?

K38 is a surf spot in Puesta Del Sol, Baja California, Mexico.

What is the surf break like at K38?

K38 is a left-and-right reef break over uneven reef. Expect a very busy crowd.

What surfing skill level is K38 suitable for?

K38 can suit intermediate surfers.

Is K38 beginner friendly for surfing?

K38 is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at K38?

K38 is one of the most consistent surf spots in Baja California, Mexico.

Is there parking for surfing at K38?

Parking around K38: free parking, paid parking, roadside parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near K38?

Other nearby surf spots are K-38, Calafia, Las Gaviotas - Baja, and Alfonsos.

What swell direction works for surfing at K38?

K38 can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); south (S) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at K38?

K38 usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at K38?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at K38.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at K38?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at K38.

What tide works best for surfing at K38?

K38 can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

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Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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