Les Estagnots
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/Paris
⏱️s.
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Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Sunday 21
Monday 22
Tuesday 23
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Les Estagnots surf guide

Les Estagnots is a popular surf spot located on the D79 in Seignosse. Known for its quality waves, this stretch of beach attracts surfers of all levels, especially during the autumn and winter months when the swells are at their biggest. The spot is often packed, so be prepared to share the waves with a crowd. Overnight camping in the nearby car parks is now off-limits, but the area has plenty of facilities for day visitors.

When conditions are right, Les Estagnots can deliver some great surf. The beach works on all tides and can handle swell sizes from around 1.2 meters (4 ft) up to 3.6 meters (12 ft). With a preferred swell direction from the northwest and west, the waves can produce both lefts and rights. Expect fast, hollow waves at high tide and long rides at lower tides, although the shorebreak can get pretty punishing, especially when the swells are bigger. Be mindful of the rip that can turn into a fast current as the swell picks up. This spot is best suited for surfers using shortboards, fish, bodyboards, and those into bodysurfing.

Crowd levels can be high, and the local scene can be competitive, so it’s good to be respectful out there. Rips and longshore drift are also important to keep in mind, especially when the surf is up. While the environment is generally good, it can suffer after heavy rains, which may affect the quality of the surf. Overall, if you want a quality beach break that can handle decent swell, Les Estagnots is worth checking out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Les Estagnots

Le Penon
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Les Bourdaines
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Les Estagnots
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Les Culs Nuls
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break, Canyon break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Les Cul Nuls
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
La Nord
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
La Gravière
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
La Sud
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
La Graviere
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break, Canyon break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
L'Estacade
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Unknown break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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