Papagayo
Pull to refresh
Hourly
Timezone: America/Santiago
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tuesday 21
Wednesday 22
Thursday 23
Friday 24
Saturday 25
Sunday 26
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.

Papagayo surf guide

Papagayo is a surf spot located in the bay at Quintero. It features an uneven reef that creates a long left setup that often barrels over the shallower sections during lower tides. This spot can handle decent-sized swells and has a pretty deep channel, so it usually doesn't close out. However, the waves don't particularly like a southwest wind. Just behind the island, the wave wraps around to an inside reef, which caters to improvers and younger surfers looking to catch some fun rides.

The optimal swell direction for Papagayo is from the southwest, while it can also pick up swells from the south and northwest. The spot works best with swell sizes of around 4ft (about 1.2 meters). The waves break over the uneven reef, offering left-hand rides that can be enjoyable for those who have some intermediate skills. The preferred wind direction is from the east, and it’s best to surf here during low to mid tide for the best experience.

While Papagayo can be a solid spot for surfers, it's worth noting that vibe issues can pop up in the line-up. Consistency scores around 7 out of 10, and crowds can vary. Overall, it's important to be mindful of your surroundings when you're out there.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Papagayo

Maitencillo
Valparaiso, Chile
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
El Claron
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Papagayo
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Papagayo
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Ritoque
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
La Boca
Valparaiso, Chile
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Reñaca
Valparaiso, Chile
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Renaca
Valparaiso, Chile
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Las Salinas (Valparaiso)
Valparaiso, Chile
Point break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Algarrobo
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+
Help keep Surfnerd independent and ad-free while we build the future of surf forecasting.
What you get today:
  • Support
    independent
    surf forecasting
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 6-day)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
Coming in November 2025:
  • ECMWF
    forecast model
    (higher accuracy)
  • Compare
    wind and wave models
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
By purchasing the product, you accept the Terms of Use & acknowledge the Privacy policy.
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Share
Join Surfnerd for free
  • Save favorite spots
  • Set home spot
  • Log surf sessions
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google
Surfnerd for iOS: Faster loading, smoother experience.
Download on the App Store