Paunch
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Timezone: America/Panama

Paunch surf guide

Paunch is a quality reef break located just a 10-15 minute drive from town. As the closest surf spot around, it tends to draw quite a crowd, including surf schools, so be prepared for company in the water. The wave breaks over an uneven reef, so reef boots are a good idea for protection. It’s a popular spot for both locals and visitors looking for a reliable surf session.

The waves at Paunch can be pretty fun, especially when the swell is around 2ft (0.6m). The north-east swells are optimal here, but it can also work well with north-west and east swells. The lefts are the main attraction; they start with a nice tubular section which then opens up into a more workable wall, offering a bonus inside cover-up. When the swell gets bigger, the wave can get really sucky. There are a few rights off the peak, but they aren’t as rewarding as the lefts. The spot works best with a low to mid or high tide, and the preferable wind direction is from the west. Overall, this spot is best suited for intermediate surfers.

With the proximity to town, Paunch can get pretty crowded, especially with all the surf schools operating in the area. It’s a good idea to keep an eye out for other surfers while you're out there, given the heavy wave activity. Make sure to enjoy the session, but always be mindful of your surroundings in the water.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Paunch

Little Shoal
Limon Province, Costa Rica
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Punta Uva
Limon Province, Costa Rica
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Manzanillo (Limón)
Limon Province, Costa Rica
Beach break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Bluff
Bocas Del Toro Province, Panama
Beach break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Bocas del Toro
Bocas Del Toro Province, Panama
Beach break, Reef break, Point break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Dumpers
Bocas Del Toro Province, Panama
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Paunch
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Silverbacks
Bocas Del Toro Province, Panama
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Careñeros
Bocas Del Toro Province, Panama
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
First Beach
Bocas Del Toro Province, Panama
Beach break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

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The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

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Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

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Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

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Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

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