Pavillion Royal
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Hourly
Timezone: Europe/Paris
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Wednesday 22
Thursday 23
Friday 24
Saturday 25
Sunday 26
Monday 27
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Pavillion Royal surf guide

Pavillion Royal is a surf spot located at a popular camping site, known for its somewhat mellow vibe. It offers a mix of reef and sandy breaks along the beach, making it accessible for surfers looking for a laid-back outing. The area attracts a diverse crowd, and whether youโ€™re just starting out or have some experience under your belt, thereโ€™s usually something for everyone here. Just keep in mind that it can get crowded, especially when the waves are firing.

The surf here is best with a northwest swell, and it can handle sizes starting from around 1 ft (0.3 m). You'll find some decent left and right waves, but be aware that the high tide can really mess things up, so it's often better to aim for low to mid tide for a cleaner ride. The breaks are mainly over uneven reef and sand, giving you different options depending on your preferences. Watch out for the afternoon sea-breeze, as it tends to chop the waves up a bit, but overall, itโ€™s a spot where intermediate surfers can find their groove.

Pavillion Royal is a popular spot, and locals tend to take advantage when conditions are right. It's also known for being a nudist-friendly area, so donโ€™t be surprised if you see a few sunbathers. Make sure to respect the locals and the vibe of the place for a better experience while youโ€™re out there.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Pavillion Royal

Parlementia
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Reef break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
La Cote des Basques
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Cรดte des Basques
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Bidart
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Marbella
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Erretegia
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Pavillion Royal
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Ilbarritz
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Milady
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Biarritz
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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