Perkins
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 08
Sunday 09
Monday 10
Tuesday 11
Wednesday 12
Thursday 13
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/New_York
Wind: GFS (20251108 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251108 06z)

Perkins surf guide

Perkins is a surf spot located right at the edge of Satellite Beach, where Patrick Air Force Base ends. This area is marked by the A1A-Pineda Causeway, which connects to US 1 and I-95. The spot used to be famous for the Perkins restaurant, but it’s no longer there. There's a public beach ramp next to it, although parking is pretty limited. The beach here is typical for the region, with coquina rock shelves that influence how the sand shifts with the ocean currents. It tends to be a bit shallow and punchy, but still worth checking out.

The surf at Perkins works best at low to mid tide, with wave sizes ranging from waist-high to about 3 feet overhead (roughly 0.6 to 2.1 meters). It's known for handling swells from the northeast to east-northeast, and can handle everything from 2 ft up to 10 ft (0.6 to 3 meters). You'll find both right and left waves breaking over a combination of sand and coquina/worm rock. The paddling can be manageable, but watch out—it can get a bit tricky when the surf gets larger. While Perkins might not get the same crowd as other spots like RC's, it has a similar feel and can be a good alternative to check out whenever you’re in the area.

For surfers, the overall vibe is pretty mellow, and the environment tends to stay clean. Be mindful of the shin-busting worm rock on your way out, especially if you're new to the spot. This wave is suitable for intermediate and expert surfers, making it a good choice for those looking to challenge their skills. The best seasons for surfing here are fall through spring, especially during hurricane swells, with a preference for board types like shortboards. Just keep in mind that the crowds can vary with the conditions.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Perkins

Patrick Air Force Base
Florida, United States
Beach break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Perkins
Florida, United States
Beach break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Hightower Beach
Florida, United States
Beach break, Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Satellite Beach/ RCs
Florida, United States
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Pelican Beach Park
Florida, United States
Beach break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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