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Surf forecast for Rio Nexpa

Map showing Rio Nexpa
Wwvs
3.5ft 5s.
91kJ
Swl 3
3.0ft 23s.
1207kJ
Swl 2
2.8ft 10s.
234kJ
Swl 1
4.1ft 15s.
1050kJ
Wnd
13mph
24mph
Tide
💨mph
🌊ft
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
America/Mexico_City
Forecast updated:
08/10, 12:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261008 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261008 06z)

Weather

Thursday 08/10

Water temperature
83°F
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
78–82°F
On shore
69–78°F
Moon phase
Waning crescent
4% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 09:51 am
Tide range
0.4ft - 1.7ft
Low 03:08 pm · High 09:24 pm
Next spring tide
Sun 18/10
2.1ft range
Next neap tide
Fri 23/10
1.4ft range

Timeline

Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Rio Nexpa is a long, occasionally barreling left that peels down the cobblestone fan of a wide rivermouth in southern Michoacan, and it ranks among Mexico's best lefts when a solid south swell is running. The wave breaks over boulders, and at its best it's a reeling, leg-burning, world-class ride. Its shape leans on the river's flow, so the sandbar can blow out too wide by the end of summer after heavy rain.

When It Works

Nexpa draws swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), with south swell the best match. This river-mouth left works from 1.2 m / 4 ft to 4.9 m / 16 ft and holds plenty of size. A due-south swell at low to mid tide can link all the sections into one fast, high-speed ride over the boulders and sand. It's a very consistent spot across a spring-through-autumn season, and it tends to hold up all day short of the nastiest onshore conditions. When the swell swings more west, shorter rights break off the peak back into the rivermouth.

Wind and Tide

Look for north offshore wind, though the lefts will even handle some northwest wind when there's size. The wave works across most of the tide, with a rising tide generally the better call and low to mid the pick for linking the sections.

Local Tips

This is an expert-level wave. Strong, sweeping currents run through the setup, and it will dish out poundings to the unwary, especially at the rocky exit. Shortboards, longboards, fish, and guns all have a place here depending on the day, and expect long paddles back out after those lengthy rides. Crowds get thick when it's good, so plan on a busy lineup.

Access

Once you find the turn-off from the highway, access is easy. There's a car park with free parking, plus camping nearby.

Surf spots near Rio Nexpa

Petacalco
Guerrero, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
El Faro (Guerrero)
Michoacán, Mexico
Unknown break
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Playa Azul
Michoacán, Mexico
Beach break
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Rio Nexpa
Michoacán, Mexico
Rivermouth break
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Huahua
Michoacán, Mexico
Rivermouth break
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally south (S) around 1.2 m / 4 ft to 4.9 m / 16 ft, north (N) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa is a surf spot in Barra de Nexpa, Michoacán, Mexico.

What is the surf break like at Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa is a left rivermouth break over boulders. Expect a busy crowd and a neutral lineup.

What season is best for surfing Rio Nexpa?

The main surf season at Rio Nexpa is spring, summer, and autumn.

What surfing skill level is Rio Nexpa suitable for?

Rio Nexpa can suit expert surfers.

Is Rio Nexpa beginner friendly for surfing?

Rio Nexpa is better suited to expert surfers.

What surfboards work at Rio Nexpa?

Shortboard, Longboard, Fish, and Gun are common choices at Rio Nexpa.

How consistent is the surf at Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa is one of the most consistent surf spots in Michoacán, Mexico.

What facilities are available for surfers at Rio Nexpa?

Facilities for surfers at Rio Nexpa: camping.

Is there parking for surfing at Rio Nexpa?

Parking around Rio Nexpa: free parking and car park.

What surf spots are near Rio Nexpa?

Other nearby surf spots are Huahua, Playa Azul, El Faro (Guerrero), and Petacalco.

What swell direction works for surfing at Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); south (S) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa usually works with swell around 1.2 m / 4 ft to 4.9 m / 16 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Rio Nexpa?

North (N) offshore wind is usually best at Rio Nexpa.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Rio Nexpa?

North (N) is offshore at Rio Nexpa.

What tide works best for surfing at Rio Nexpa?

Rio Nexpa can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🎯 Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
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For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

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