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Surf forecast for Rocky Point

Map showing Rocky Point
Wwvs
0.4ft 2s.
0kJ
Swl 3
2.3ft 7s.
69kJ
Swl 2
2.2ft 9s.
103kJ
Swl 1
3.6ft 15s.
854kJ
Wnd
4mph
6mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Honolulu
Forecast updated:
06/10, 08:00 pm
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261007 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261007 06z)

Weather

Wednesday 07/10

Water temperature
80ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
77โ€“80ยฐF
On shore
70โ€“81ยฐF
Moon phase
Waning crescent
8% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 05:51 am
Tide range
0.1ft - 1.6ft
Low 06:53 pm ยท High 12:22 pm
Next spring tide
Sun 11/10
1.6ft range
Next neap tide
Fri 16/10
1.1ft range

Timeline

Rocky Point Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Rocky Point is a flat, curving reef on the North Shore, roughly 250 yards wide and one of the most consistent waves on the coast. It breaks both left and right, serving up everything from soft walls to clean barrels and punchy air sections. The setup splits into two broad zones known as Rocky Rights and Rocky Lefts, each holding several takeoff points that come alive in different conditions.

When It Works

The reef pulls in swell from west through north to northeast (W-N-NE), with northwest (NW) the best match. It works from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft and stays remarkably consistent across nearly any winter swell direction. The rights reel off in more northerly swells, while the faster lefts prefer more west to northwest. Autumn, winter, and spring all deliver, with winter the standout season.

Wind and Tide

Look for southeast (SE) offshore wind, though calm or light conditions are just as good, and the usual trades are fine as long as they aren't too strong. The curve of the reef even allows some wind variation depending on which section you ride. It handles low, mid, and high tide, with a rising tide generally the better call.

Local Tips

This is an intermediate wave that rewards high-performance surfing, and it suits shortboards, bodyboards, and bodysurfing alike. Expect a very busy lineup whenever it's good, with much of the work going into jockeying for position among the peaks. The atmosphere is friendly, though humility and respect go a long way. Keep an eye on the reef, including a dangerous rock that pops up on the inside of Rocky Rights, and take care getting in and out on bigger swells.

Access

Reach it by driving about half a mile past Ehukai Beach Park on Kamehameha Highway, then turning onto Ke Nui Road and parking where authorized. Public access paths lead down to the sand, and there's a car park nearby.

Surf spots near Rocky Point

Rocky Point
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Chambers
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Ehukai
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Pipeline & Backdoor
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Off-The-Wall
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is usually best with swell from west through north to northeast (W-N-NE), ideally northwest (NW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, southeast (SE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is a surf spot in Pupukea, Hawaii, United States.

What is the surf break like at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is a left-and-right reef break over uneven reef. Expect a very busy crowd and a friendly lineup.

What season is best for surfing Rocky Point?

The main surf season at Rocky Point is autumn, winter, and spring.

What surfing skill level is Rocky Point suitable for?

Rocky Point can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Rocky Point beginner friendly for surfing?

Rocky Point is better suited to intermediate surfers.

What surfboards work at Rocky Point?

Shortboard, Bodyboard, and Bodysurfing are common choices at Rocky Point.

How consistent is the surf at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is one of the more consistent surf spots in Hawaii, United States.

Is there parking for surfing at Rocky Point?

Parking around Rocky Point: car park.

What surf spots are near Rocky Point?

Other nearby surf spots are Chambers, Ehukai, Pipeline & Backdoor, and Off-The-Wall.

What swell direction works for surfing at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point can work with swell from west through north to northeast (W-N-NE); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Rocky Point?

Southeast (SE) offshore wind is usually best at Rocky Point.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Rocky Point?

Southeast (SE) is offshore at Rocky Point.

What tide works best for surfing at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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