Scott Creek
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 22
Sunday 23
Monday 24
Tuesday 25
Wednesday 26
Thursday 27
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone:
America/Los_Angeles
Wind: GFS
(20251122 12z)
Waves: GFS WAVE
(20251122 12z)
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Scott Creek surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
S - NW
(Best from NW)
Swell size
2ft - 18ft
Swell breaks over
Uneven Reef, Sand
Wave types
Reef
Wave directions
Right
Wind window
E - E
(Offshore from E)
Works at
Low, Mid, High
Skill Level
Intermediate
Seasons
Spring, Summer, Autumn, Winter
Board types
Shortboard, Funboard, Gun, Kiteboard

Scott Creek surf forecast guide

Scott Creek is a beach break that offers a nice place for surfers, with the main reef break located to the north where the highway rises. This spot has surfable waves ranging from about 2 feet (0.6 meters) to an impressive 20 feet (6 meters), mostly during the winter months. The area can get big and challenging, and if you're not careful, the surf can really take you for a ride. Parking is pretty easy along the highway, but keep an eye out for traffic when you’re getting in and out.

The surf here tends to work best with a northwest swell, although it can also handle swells from the south and northwest. Generally, the waves break over a mix of rock and sand, with the right reef offering some solid rides. You can expect waves to show up during low, mid, and high tides. Ideal conditions are usually when the wind is coming from the east, providing clean faces. The beach also has a fair amount of paddling involved, especially when the surf gets overhead, so make sure you’ve got your stamina ready. The spot can be quite good when everything lines up, but sometimes it can get blown out if the wind picks up.

Be aware that Scott Creek does have some notable hazards. There’s the presence of bull kelp, which can snag your board, and the water can be cold. There’s also a reputation for sharks in the area, so keep that in mind while you’re surfing. The vibe can vary from local to busy, so it’s a good idea to be respectful if there’s a crowd out. Overall, the conditions here draw a mix of intermediate surfers, and the spot is suitable for different types of boards, whether you're using a shortboard, funboard, gun, or even kiteboard.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Scott Creek

Laguna Creek
California, United States
Beach break
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Davenport Landing
California, United States
Reef break
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Scott Creek
California, United States
Reef break
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Waddell Creek
California, United States
Beach break
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Ano Nuevo State Reserve
California, United States
Beach break
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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