Surf forecast Supertubos: swell, wind and tide

Weather

Thursday 15/10

Water temperature

64°F

Daily average

Air temperatureBeta

Over water: 65°F
On shore: 61–83°F

Moon phase

Waxing crescent

21% illuminated

Closest moon phase

First quarter

Sun 18/10 05:14 pm

Tide range

0.5ft - 7.2ft

Low 12:02 pm · High 05:47 am

Next spring tide

Tue 27/10

10.1ft range

Next neap tide

Mon 19/10

3.5ft range

Supertubos Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Supertubos has a strong claim to being the best beachbreak in Portugal and one of the finest waves in Europe, a regular stop on the world pro tour and a famous warm-up for Pipeline. The main peak throws long, heavy tubes over sand, with a super-fast but makeable left and a somewhat shorter right. A second peak down the beach is not quite as perfect, but it still beats an average day at most beachbreaks. The sheer speed of the wave guarantees a few shut-down close-outs along the way. It breaks close to shore, but be ready to dig hard on the paddle to stroke into a good one. Fair warning: the smell from the nearby fish factory can get pretty intense.

When It Works

The spot draws swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), with southwest (SW) swell the best match, and works from 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3 m / 10 ft. The lefts are usually the better waves, though plenty of shorter rights peel off the main peak, especially in northwest conditions. Autumn is the prime season and winter still produces, but the wave is only moderately consistent, and the days when everything lines up do not come around all that often.

Wind and Tide

Look for northeast (NE) wind, which blows straight offshore, and the beach also has some shelter from northerly winds. It can break through low, mid, and high tide, with a rising tide generally the better call.

Local Tips

This is a shortboard wave that suits intermediate surfers, and it gets very busy. When it is pumping, expect 50 to 100 surfers out, with a real chance you will not get a set wave off the main peak to yourself. The atmosphere in the water is friendly, and the lesser peaks further along the beach help spread the crowd out. If you stick around for a while and paddle out on your own, your chances of scoring waves improve. Watch out for the crowds, and for hitting the bottom on bigger days.

Access

Getting in the water is easy, with a free car park right in front of the break plus roadside parking. Theft from vehicles is commonplace, so do not leave anything valuable in the car. The beach has showers, a lifeguard, a surf school, a surf shop, and camping.

Surf spots near Supertubos

Consolação

Leiria, Portugal

Point break

Thu 15

Fri 16

Sat 17

Sun 18

Mon 19

Supertubos

Leiria, Portugal

Beach break

Thu 15

Fri 16

Sat 17

Sun 18

Mon 19

Molho Leste

Leiria, Portugal

Unknown break

Thu 15

Fri 16

Sat 17

Sun 18

Mon 19

Meio da Baía

Leiria, Portugal

Unknown break

Thu 15

Fri 16

Sat 17

Sun 18

Mon 19

Cerro

Leiria, Portugal

Unknown break

Thu 15

Fri 16

Sat 17

Sun 18

Mon 19

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Supertubos?

Supertubos is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally southwest (SW) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Supertubos?

Supertubos is a surf spot in Casa Moinho, Leiria, Portugal.

What is the surf break like at Supertubos?

Supertubos is a left-and-right beach break over sand. Expect a very busy crowd and a friendly lineup.

What season is best for surfing Supertubos?

The main surf season at Supertubos is autumn and winter.

What surfing skill level is Supertubos suitable for?

Supertubos can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Supertubos beginner friendly for surfing?

Supertubos is better suited to intermediate surfers.

What surfboards work at Supertubos?

Shortboard is a common choice at Supertubos.

How consistent is the surf at Supertubos?

Supertubos has moderate surf consistency for Leiria, Portugal.

What facilities are available for surfers at Supertubos?

Facilities for surfers at Supertubos: showers, camping, lifeguard, surf school, and surf shop.

Is there parking for surfing at Supertubos?

Parking around Supertubos: free parking, roadside parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near Supertubos?

Other nearby surf spots are Molho Leste, Cerro, Meio da Baía, and Consolação.

What swell direction works for surfing at Supertubos?

Supertubos can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); southwest (SW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Supertubos?

Supertubos usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Supertubos?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at Supertubos.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Supertubos?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Supertubos.

What tide works best for surfing at Supertubos?

Supertubos can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🎯 Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

H, the models line up closely.
M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect

Good

Average

Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Surf forecast for Supertubos

Weather

Timeline

Supertubos Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

When It Works

Wind and Tide

Local Tips

Access

Surf spots near Supertubos

Frequently asked questions

Readme

Forecast Table

🔮 Time and predictions section

💨 Wind section

🌊 Wave section

🎯 Model agreement

🌒 Tide section

Forecast map

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Models and Updates

Surf Predictions

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