The Inlet (New Smyrna)
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Friday 21
Saturday 22
Sunday 23
Monday 24
Tuesday 25
Wednesday 26
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone:
America/New_York
Wind: GFS
(20251121 12z)
Waves: GFS WAVE
(20251121 12z)
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The Inlet (New Smyrna) surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
S - N
(Best from SE)
Swell size
2ft - 12ft
Swell breaks over
Sand
Wave types
Beach
Wave directions
Left, Right
Wind window
SW - SW
(Offshore from SW)
Works at
Low, Mid, High
Skill Level
Beginner

The Inlet (New Smyrna) surf forecast guide

The Inlet in New Smyrna Beach is a surf spot known for its consistent conditions, attracting surfers from all over. Located near Ponce de Leon Inlet, this area features a short jetty that helps improve wave quality and spread out the usual crowds that often hit the beach. The stretch of sand south of the jetty has well-formed sandbars, making it a decent spot for various skill levels to enjoy the ocean.

This surf spot works best with a southeast swell direction, but you can find rideable waves from both the north and south. It handles swell sizes starting from around 2 feet (0.6 meters) and can produce both lefts and rights over sand. The waves generally break smoothly, making it a good choice for beginners. For the best conditions, aim for low to mid or high tides. If you’re lucky, you might catch some solid outside bars at Shark Shallows, especially when other nearby areas aren’t quite as good. A southwest wind is preferred here to clean up the faces of the waves.

While surfing at The Inlet, be prepared for the usual beach crowd, which can include a mix of skilled locals and less experienced tourists. This can make for a lively atmosphere in the water, so it’s important to stay aware and respectful of others around you. The area is popular for its wave consistency, so expect to share the waves with plenty of fellow surfers.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby The Inlet (New Smyrna)

Sunglow Pier
Florida, United States
Unknown break
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Ponce Inlet
Florida, United States
Unknown break
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
The Inlet (New Smyrna)
Florida, United States
Beach break
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
New Smyrna Beach
Florida, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Flager Avenue
Florida, United States
Beach break
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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