The Rocks
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Friday 14
Saturday 15
Sunday 16
Monday 17
Tuesday 18
Wednesday 19
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone:
America/New_York
Wind: GFS
(20251114 12z)
Waves: GFS WAVE
(20251114 12z)
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The Rocks surf guide

The Rocks is a unique surf spot that’s not too easy to get to. It’s been part of a Coast Guard base for years, which has kept the area a bit off the beaten path. A walk-in along the beach or inlet takes about half an hour and can be a bit sweaty and buggy. If you’re thinking about taking a boat, it’ll also take about the same time. Just keep in mind that surfing here hasn’t been officially allowed, and the place is heavily monitored by the Coast Guard and security, so don’t be surprised if you get kicked out.

When the conditions are right, The Rocks can actually be a fun spot to surf. Swell typically comes from the East-North-East to South-South-East, handling sizes from around 3ft to 7ft (about 1 to 2.1 meters). The waves break over sand and can offer both right and lefts, ideal for shortboards, fish, funboards, longboards, and even bodyboards. Waves are best during mid to high tide, with north-west winds being preferable. It's a spot where beginners through to experts can find something that suits their skill level.

During the autumn and winter months, from September to March, the surf tends to be more consistent. The crowd factor here is generally light, and the local vibe can feel mellow to moderate depending on the day. Watch out for shallow areas and rip currents if you decide to take a dip. Overall, it’s a pretty clean spot and when the swell’s right, it’s worth the trek.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby The Rocks

Queen Street
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Poverty Beach
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
The Rocks
New Jersey, United States
Jetty break
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Rambler Road
New Jersey, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wildwood/ Five Mile Island
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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