Arrawarra
Hourly
Confidence
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⚡️kJ
Friday 07
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: Australia/Sydney
Wind: GFS (20251107 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251107 06z)

Arrawarra surf guide

Arrawarra is a surf spot located on the New South Wales north coast, known for its scenic beauty and laid-back vibe. It’s one of those spots where you can find a mix of surfers, from beginners to more seasoned riders. The beach features a long stretch of sand with some access points that can lead to fun waves. The environment can get crowded, especially on nice days, but there’s enough space for everyone to catch a few rides.

The waves here are generally fun and less intimidating than other points along the coast. Arrawarra works best with southeast swell, handling sizes up to about 3ft (0.9 meters). When the swell comes from the northeast or south, you can still score some decent rides. Most of the waves break on an uneven reef and there’s a consistent right-hander that’s popular. For the best conditions, aim for low to mid tide with a southwest wind—it really helps the waves to shape up nicely. Beginners will find this spot suitable, but as the swell increases beyond head high, be prepared for more powerful and challenging waves, particularly towards the inside near the rocks.

If you’re looking for a change in scenery, there are some other spots nearby worth checking out. Just a short drive back towards Woolgoolga, you’ll find Mullaway, which has a stronger point break and can challenge more advanced surfers. Heading north, areas like Red Rock, the jetty at Wooli, Minnie Water, and Broomes Head could offer some options, but the quality is hit or miss. Overall, while Arrawarra can’t compare to the epic spots, it does have its own charm and can give you a solid session.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Arrawarra

Arrawarra
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Emerald Beach
New South Wales, Australia
Beach break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Moonee Creek
New South Wales, Australia
Rivermouth break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Diggers
New South Wales, Australia
Beach break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Park Beach
New South Wales, Australia
Beach break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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