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Surf forecast for Baja Malibu

Map showing Baja Malibu
Wwvs
1.7ft 3s.
9kJ
Swl 3
2.4ft 7s.
72kJ
Swl 2
2.5ft 9s.
138kJ
Swl 1
3.0ft 16s.
647kJ
Wnd
10mph
14mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
America/Tijuana
Forecast updated:
10/10, 05:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261010 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261010 06z)

Weather

Saturday 10/10

Water temperature
74ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
72โ€“76ยฐF
On shore
74โ€“84ยฐF
Moon phase
New moon
0% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 08:51 am
Tide range
-0.1ft - 6.0ft
Low 03:48 pm ยท High 09:18 am
Next spring tide
Tue 27/10
7.4ft range
Next neap tide
Mon 19/10
1.0ft range

Timeline

Baja Malibu Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Baja Malibu is a long stretch of sand beachbreak just south of the border, and a quick, powerful escape from San Diego. It ranks up there as one of Baja's premier waves and can be world-class when everything aligns. The offshore bathymetry does the heavy lifting here: long winter lines get broken up and funnel in as juicy mega-peaks rather than closing out down the beach.

When It Works

The beach draws swell from south through west-southwest to northwest, and it comes alive on a solid, long-period northwest swell. A combination of northwest and south-southwest swell is the best match of all. It's usable from 1.2 m / 4 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, which puts the good days somewhere between head high and double overhead. Autumn and winter are the seasons to watch, with October through January the pick, though the beach can serve up fun waves at any time of year.

Wind and Tide

Wind makes or breaks this place. Look for east-northeast offshore wind, with a workable window running from north-northeast to east-southeast. When it blows offshore, Baja Malibu can turn into an anomaly of apexes compared to nearby Baja breaks, but onshore wind will shred the surf to uselessness just as quickly. It can work through most of the tide, with a rising tide generally the better call.

Local Tips

Shortboards and bodyboards both make sense here. It suits intermediate and expert surfers, mostly because of the paddle: it's manageable on an average day, but gets heavy in a hurry if you're caught in the impact zone when it's big. Those thick lips break boards, so bring something you trust. The lineup tends to stay fairly quiet with a neutral feel, and there's plenty of room along the beach even when the surf is firing. Worth knowing: the water gets quite dirty after rain, with ongoing sewage problems from a variety of sources.

Access

Getting here is easy. Parking is the only thing worth sorting out, so ask someone nearby about the best and safest spot to leave the car. Petty theft is a known issue, so don't leave anything tempting in view.

Surf spots near Baja Malibu

Rosarito Beach
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break, Pier break
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
San Antonio Del Mar - Norte
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Baja Malibu
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Marisol North Point
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Marisol
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu is usually best with south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW) swell around 1.2 m / 4 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, wind from north-northeast to east-southeast (NNE-ESE), with east-northeast (ENE) offshore, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu is a surf spot in Baja Trade Winds, Baja California, Mexico.

What is the surf break like at Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu is a beach break over sand. Expect a fairly quiet crowd and a neutral lineup.

What season is best for surfing Baja Malibu?

The main surf season at Baja Malibu is autumn and winter.

What surfing skill level is Baja Malibu suitable for?

Baja Malibu can suit intermediate and expert surfers.

Is Baja Malibu beginner friendly for surfing?

Baja Malibu is better suited to intermediate and expert surfers.

What surfboards work at Baja Malibu?

Shortboard and Bodyboard are common choices at Baja Malibu.

What surf spots are near Baja Malibu?

Other nearby surf spots are San Antonio Del Mar - Norte, Marisol North Point, Marisol, and Rosarito Beach.

What swell direction works for surfing at Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW).

What swell size works for surfing at Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu usually works with swell around 1.2 m / 4 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu usually works with wind from north-northeast to east-southeast (NNE-ESE); east-northeast (ENE) is offshore.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Baja Malibu?

East-northeast (ENE) is offshore at Baja Malibu.

What tide works best for surfing at Baja Malibu?

Baja Malibu can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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