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Surf forecast for Cape San Blas

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
America/New_York
Forecast updated:
23/06, 02:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260623 00z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260623 00z)
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Timeline

Tomorrow Tue 23/06 to Wed 24/06
No surf windows (2 days)
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Cape San Blas Surf Forecast Guide

Heading southeast down the coast from Mexico Beach, you’ll find Cape San Blas, which is known for its nice point break. This spot is at the southern tip of a sand spit, and you can catch a right point that breaks on South and West swells. It’s a bit of a hidden gem along the Emerald Coast, where the water glows in beautiful shades of green.

The surf here is pretty solid, with swell sizes ranging from 5 to 6 feet (about 1.5 to 1.8 meters). The best conditions usually come from South-Southeast, South, and South-Southwest swells. You can enjoy beach and point breaks, with waves breaking to the right and left. The wind is ideally from the North-Northeast, Northeast, East-Northeast, East, and with a light outgoing tide, it can get even better. This spot is suitable for all levels of surfers—beginners, intermediates, and experts alike. Just keep in mind that while it’s an average beach break overall, on the right day, some sandbars light up nicely.

Accessing the surf means you’ll need to park and then walk around 20 minutes to get to the spot. You probably won’t see a crowd out there, just you and maybe some bull sharks, so be vigilant. The environment is beautiful, but just remember that this area is known for having a lot of bull sharks at times, so it’s a good idea to keep an eye on the waters while you paddle out.

Surf spots near Cape San Blas

Mexico Beach
Florida, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
El Governor
Florida, United States
Unknown break
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
St. George Island
Florida, United States
Beach break
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Toilet Bowls
Florida, United States
Unknown break
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Cape San Blas
Florida, United States
Beach break, Point break
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Cape San Blas?

Cape San Blas is usually best with west-southwest to south-southeast (WSW-SSE) swell around 1.5 m / 5 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft, wind from north-northeast to east (NNE-E), with northeast (NE) offshore, and low to mid tide.

Where is the surf spot Cape San Blas?

Cape San Blas is a surf spot in Cape San Blas, Florida, United States.

What is the surf break like at Cape San Blas?

Wave types at Cape San Blas are beach and point. Waves at Cape San Blas break right and left. Cape San Blas breaks over sand. Expect a quiet crowd and a reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Cape San Blas?

The main surf season at Cape San Blas is spring, autumn, and winter.

What surfing skill level is Cape San Blas suitable for?

Cape San Blas can suit beginner, intermediate, and expert surfers.

Is Cape San Blas beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Cape San Blas can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Cape San Blas?

Shortboard, Fish, Funboard, and Longboard are common choices at Cape San Blas.

What surf spots are near Cape San Blas?

Other nearby surf spots are Toilet Bowls, El Governor, Mexico Beach, and St. George Island.

What swell direction works for surfing at Cape San Blas?

Cape San Blas can work with swell from west-southwest to south-southeast (WSW-SSE).

What swell size works for surfing at Cape San Blas?

Cape San Blas usually works with swell around 1.5 m / 5 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Cape San Blas?

Cape San Blas usually works with wind from north-northeast to east (NNE-E); northeast (NE) is offshore.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Cape San Blas?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Cape San Blas.

What tide works best for surfing at Cape San Blas?

Cape San Blas works best around low to mid tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
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