Ponta Pequena
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 06
Friday 07
Saturday 08
Sunday 09
Monday 10
Tuesday 11
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: Atlantic/Madeira
Wind: GFS (20251105 18z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251105 18z)

Ponta Pequena surf guide

Ponta Pequena is a surf spot located almost halfway between Paul do Mar and Jardim do Mar. It’s a place that often looks deceivingly easy from a distance, but once you’re in the water, it can surprise you. This spot is known for being one of the most consistent on the island, but that consistency means it can get crowded at times. To get there, most surfers make the walk along the rocky shore under the cliffs from Jardim since it’s closer to the channel.

The waves at Ponta Pequena break over boulders and are best for expert surfers. It works really well on big west swells, especially around low tide. When the conditions are right, you can score extremely long rides with a nice inside barrel section that demands speed. The optimal swell direction is from the west, but it also handles southwest and north swells pretty well. It can handle swell sizes around 1.2 meters (4 ft), and the waves break to the right. It’s worth noting that the best wind direction is northeast, so keep an eye on the wind when planning your session.

While the paddle out is less daunting thanks to a defined channel, be prepared for the long walk under the cliffs, which can be prone to landslides and falling rocks, so stay aware of your surroundings. The tide plays a role too; low to mid tides are preferable to catch the best waves. Overall, if you're looking to challenge your skills, Ponta Pequena is definitely worth checking out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Ponta Pequena

Faja da Ovelha
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Ponta Paul
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Paul do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Reef break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Ponta Pequena
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Jardim do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+
Help keep Surfnerd independent and ad-free while we build the future of surf forecasting.
What you get today:
  • Surfnerd
    intelligent
    forecast
    (high accuracy!)
  • Shows
    confidence
    scores
    (more trust)
  • Compare
    models
    (more data)
  • Access all
    models
    (vs GFS only)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 6-day)
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
By purchasing the product, you accept the Terms of Use & acknowledge the Privacy policy.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Share
Join Surfnerd for free
  • Save favorite spots
  • Set home spot
  • Log surf sessions
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google
Surfnerd for iOS: Faster loading, smoother experience.
Download on the App Store