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Surf forecast for Cerritos

Map showing Cerritos
Wwvs
1.3ft 3s.
4kJ
Swl 3
0.7ft 9s.
9kJ
Swl 2
3.2ft 10s.
257kJ
Swl 1
4.6ft 15s.
1316kJ
Wnd
9mph
12mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
America/Mazatlan
Forecast updated:
12/10, 05:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261012 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261012 06z)

Weather

Monday 12/10

Water temperature
85ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
80โ€“82ยฐF
On shore
70โ€“82ยฐF
Moon phase
Waxing crescent
5% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 08:51 am
Tide range
-0.3ft - 4.9ft
Low 03:15 pm ยท High 08:31 am
Next spring tide
Tue 27/10
6.0ft range
Next neap tide
Sun 18/10
2.0ft range

Timeline

Cerritos Surf Forecast Guide

Cerritos is a right-hand point on the Pacific side of the Baja Peninsula, about 45 minutes north of Cabo San Lucas near the village of Todos Santos. Officially it's Santa Lucia de Los Cerritos, but almost everyone just calls it Cerritos.

Overview

The headland at the north end of the beach is the main event: a right that wraps around the point and gets genuinely fun and rippable once it links up with the section farther inside. It's not a hollow, world-class point, and neighboring Pedrito is arguably a touch better on its day, but the variety of waves on offer and the beach itself make Cerritos a spot worth planning around. The water is clean, and the whole stretch is being developed with condos, hotels and golf courses.

When It Works

The wave breaks over uneven reef and takes swell from south through west-southwest to northwest, with northwest (NW) the direction that really switches the point on. A big wintertime west or northwest is when the right off the headland comes to life. South swells set up peaks in the lee of the headland instead, and combo or wind swells tend to light the whole beach up in a run of fun peaks, which spreads people out nicely. It's usable from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft and it's a consistent spot that has something on offer year-round. The beach peaks are approachable when it's small, but they pack a punch once it gets overhead.

Wind and Tide

Look for a northeast (NE) offshore. Even when the afternoon northwest onshores fill in, the headland keeps Cerritos slightly protected, which is a big part of the appeal. It works through most of the tide, with a rising tide generally the better call. Low tide steepens things up and makes the wave faster.

Local Tips

This one suits just about any board: shortboards, funboards, longboards, fish and bodyboards all get used here, and longboarders in particular love it. Beginners can find something on the beach peaks when it's small. Expect a busy lineup, especially in the afternoons when everyone shifts here to duck the northwest wind, and doubly so over holidays. The atmosphere is somewhat reserved, and with plenty of beginners in the water there's often some traffic to navigate.

Access

Park right at the beach; parking is free. There are restrooms, camping and a surf school on hand, and Cerritos Beach Club and Surf has rentals and food if you turn up without gear.

Surf spots near Cerritos

Punta Gasparino
Baja California Sur, Mexico
Unknown break
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Fri 16
Cerritos
Baja California Sur, Mexico
Point break
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Fri 16
Pescadero
Baja California Sur, Mexico
Beach break
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Fri 16
San Pedrito
Baja California Sur, Mexico
Reef break
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Fri 16
Las Palmas
Baja California Sur, Mexico
Unknown break
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Fri 16

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Cerritos?

Cerritos is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally northwest (NW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Cerritos?

Cerritos is a surf spot in Brody [Mini Super], Baja California Sur, Mexico.

What is the surf break like at Cerritos?

Cerritos is a right point break over uneven reef. Expect a busy crowd and a somewhat reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Cerritos?

The main surf season at Cerritos is spring, summer, autumn, and winter.

What surfing skill level is Cerritos suitable for?

Cerritos can suit beginner surfers.

Is Cerritos beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Cerritos can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Cerritos?

Shortboard, Funboard, Longboard, Fish, and Bodyboard are common choices at Cerritos.

How consistent is the surf at Cerritos?

Cerritos is one of the more consistent surf spots in Baja California Sur, Mexico.

What facilities are available for surfers at Cerritos?

Facilities for surfers at Cerritos: restrooms, camping, and surf school.

Is there parking for surfing at Cerritos?

Parking around Cerritos: free parking.

What surf spots are near Cerritos?

Other nearby surf spots are Pescadero, San Pedrito, Las Palmas, and Punta Gasparino.

What swell direction works for surfing at Cerritos?

Cerritos can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Cerritos?

Cerritos usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Cerritos?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at Cerritos.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Cerritos?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Cerritos.

What tide works best for surfing at Cerritos?

Cerritos can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
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Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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