Surfnerd Logo

Surf forecast for Popoia Island Kailua

Map showing Popoia Island Kailua
Wwvs
4.5ft 6s.
169kJ
Swl 3
1.7ft 17s.
217kJ
Swl 2
1.7ft 13s.
137kJ
Swl 1
2.7ft 11s.
239kJ
Wnd
18mph
24mph
Tide
💨mph
🌊ft
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Honolulu
Forecast updated:
15/10, 08:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261015 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261015 06z)

Weather

Thursday 15/10

Water temperature
79°F
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
77–79°F
On shore
71–80°F
Moon phase
Waxing crescent
25% illuminated
Closest moon phase
First quarter
Sun 18/10 06:14 am
Tide range
0.2ft - 1.8ft
Low 10:16 pm · High 05:56 am
Next spring tide
Tue 27/10
2.6ft range
Next neap tide
Sun 18/10
1.1ft range

Timeline

Popoia Island Kailua Surf Forecast Guide

Popoia Island, also known as Flat Island, is a small four-acre isle sitting about a quarter-mile off Kailua Beach Park. The main wave is a left point that breaks over reef and wraps around the island on the best days, with a shorter right peeling off the other side. Both waves stay mellow, which makes Popoia a friendly place for beginners and longboarders.

When It Works

The break draws swell from north to east (N-E) and stays consistent through the year thanks to the steady easterly tradeswell, so there is nearly always something to ride. It comes into its own on winter north to northeast (N-NE) groundswells, when the island gets open exposure to northerly swell. Waves run from waist- to head-high, usable from 0.9 m / 3 ft to 1.5 m / 5 ft. Winter is the best overall stretch, though the tradeswell keeps surf on tap the rest of the year.

Wind and Tide

Persistent onshore easterly trades are the catch here, strongest through the summer months, and they often leave the surf tattered. Clean windows tend to come with passing winter fronts or on lighter-wind early mornings. The offshore direction is west-southwest (WSW), with a workable wind window running from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW). It surfs through mid and high tide, with a rising tide the better call.

Local Tips

The relaxed waves suit beginners and intermediates, and the spot handles just about anything you paddle out on, from shortboards and funboards to longboards, fish, and even kiteboards. The lineup is usually quiet and can feel a little reserved, but expect it to draw a crowd on the rare days when the wind turns offshore and a swell is pulsing, especially on a weekend.

Access

Getting here is easy enough, but there is a long paddle out to the island from Kailua Beach Park. Long rides also mean long paddles back, so pace yourself.

Surf spots near Popoia Island Kailua

North Beach
Hawaii, United States
Unknown break
Thu 15
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Popoia Island Kailua
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Thu 15
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Castles
Hawaii, United States
Unknown break
Thu 15
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Kailua
Hawaii, United States
Unknown break
Thu 15
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Makapu’u
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Thu 15
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua is usually best with north to east (N-E) swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 1.5 m / 5 ft, wind from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), with west-southwest (WSW) offshore, and mid to high tide.

Where is the surf spot Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua is a surf spot in Kailua, Hawaii, United States.

What is the surf break like at Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua is a right-and-left reef break over lava, rock, and coral. Expect a quiet crowd and a reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Popoia Island Kailua?

The main surf season at Popoia Island Kailua is autumn, winter, spring, and summer.

What surfing skill level is Popoia Island Kailua suitable for?

Popoia Island Kailua can suit beginner and intermediate surfers.

Is Popoia Island Kailua beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Popoia Island Kailua can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Popoia Island Kailua?

Shortboard, Funboard, Longboard, Fish, and Kiteboard are common choices at Popoia Island Kailua.

What surf spots are near Popoia Island Kailua?

Other nearby surf spots are Kailua, Castles, North Beach, and Makapu’u.

What swell direction works for surfing at Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua can work with swell from north to east (N-E).

What swell size works for surfing at Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 1.5 m / 5 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua usually works with wind from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); west-southwest (WSW) is offshore.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Popoia Island Kailua?

West-southwest (WSW) is offshore at Popoia Island Kailua.

What tide works best for surfing at Popoia Island Kailua?

Popoia Island Kailua works best around mid to high tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

Open in the app

Scan the QR code to open the Surfnerd app

Surfnerd Logo

Login to your Surfnerd account

Log your sessions, save your favorite spots, and keep your surf forecast personalized.

Log in with AppleLog in with Google
or signup with email
Share
Join Surfnerd
Watch and save spots, log your sessions and set up the forecast your way. It's free.
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google
or signup with email
Surfnerd Logo
More good sessions. Less time wasted.
What you get
Free
SN+
Forecast range
5 days
15 days
Surf-window timeline
5 days
15 days
Watched spots
1
Compare forecasts
Not included
Model agreement
Not included
Related sessions
Not included
Custom spots
5
Compare all features
Free for 7 days. No payment details needed. One trial per account.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🎯 Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"