San Miguel - Baja
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Tijuana
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Sunday 21
Monday 22
Tuesday 23
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San Miguel - Baja surf guide

San Miguel in Baja is a well-known surf spot that attracts a lot of surfers looking for quality waves. It features a point break that generally delivers decent surf throughout the year, especially during the prime winter months from November to March. The access is simple, and there's a dirt parking lot where you can park for about $5 a day, with camping options available for those who want to stay longer. The environment includes a river that flows into the take-off zone, which some may find questionable.

When it comes to the surf, San Miguel offers long, tapered right-hand waves that can size up anywhere from 1.5 meters to 3 meters (5 to 10 feet). The Northwest and Southwest swells hit the boulders effectively, creating fast, powerful waves that can get pretty hollow. Generally, the best time to surf here is at mid to high tide, and you'll want a northeast wind for the optimal conditions. While the surf can be great, be prepared for a crowded lineup, especially given its reputation. It's best suited for expert surfers, and you'll need to be on your game to navigate the local vibe.

The crowd factor can be heavy, as this spot is often seen as the best on this side of Scorpion Bay, so expect some locals to take off regardless of priority. If you're coming here, it’s wise to surf with confidence and be defensive out there. The bottom consists of rocks, so keep an eye on your surroundings when paddling out. Overall, while San Miguel has its challenges, it’s still a must-visit for anyone looking to catch quality surf in Northern Baja.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby San Miguel - Baja

3Ms
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
San Miguel - Baja
Baja California, Mexico
Point break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Dunes
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Salsipuedes
Baja California, Mexico
Point break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
K55/Campo Lopez
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
K58/La Fonda
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Las Gaviotas - Baja
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Todos Santos / Killers
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break, Point break, Canyon break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Killers - Todos Santos
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Santo Tomas
Baja California, Mexico
Point break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

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