Chassiron
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 20
Friday 21
Saturday 22
Sunday 23
Monday 24
Tuesday 25
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone:
Europe/Paris
Wind: GFS
(20251120 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE
(20251120 06z)
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Chassiron surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
SW - NW
(Best from W)
Swell size
2ft - 8ft
Swell breaks over
Uneven Reef
Wave types
Reef
Wave directions
Left, Right
Wind window
SE - SE
(Offshore from SE)
Works at
Low, Mid
Skill Level
Expert

Chassiron surf forecast guide

Chassiron is located on the beautiful Île d'Oléron and is known as the island's premier surf spot. It's right in the heart of the action and is a go-to spot for many surfers looking for consistent waves. However, keep in mind that it’s not a beginner-friendly spot. The break has some challenges, including rocky sections and strong rips that can catch you off guard if you’re not careful.

The surf here mainly features peaks breaking over an uneven reef. You can expect some long walling lefts and shorter rights, especially at lower tides. This spot preferably handles swell sizes around 2ft (0.6m) and thrives with a west swell direction, but will also work with southwest and northwest swells. If you’re planning your surf sessions, aim for the low to mid tide for the best conditions. Just remember, it’s best suited for those with expert skills due to the shallow and rocky bottom.

Getting to the water involves a bit of a trek over rocks, so be ready for that. You'll want to wear booties to keep your feet safe from urchins during that long walk across the channelled fishing reef. When the wind is blowing from the southeast, conditions can be pretty good, so check the forecast before you head out!

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Chassiron

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Beach break
Thu 20
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Mon 1
Chassiron
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Reef break
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Les Huttes
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Beach break
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
St-Denis
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Point break
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
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Mon 1
Les Boulassiers
Nouvelle Aquitaine, France
Point break
Thu 20
Fri 21
Sat 22
Sun 23
Mon 24
Tue 25
Wed 26
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Fri 28
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Mon 1
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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