The Cove
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 06
Friday 07
Saturday 08
Sunday 09
Monday 10
Tuesday 11
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: Pacific/Honolulu
Wind: GFS (20251106 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251106 06z)

The Cove surf guide

The Cove is located at the southern end of Kalama Park and in front of Cove Park. It's known for its slow rolling waves, making it a popular spot for beginners learning to surf in Maui. Although it usually has small, crowded waves filled with surf schools, it can wake up during larger southwest summer swells.

The surf here is generally in the waist-high to overhead range (around 0.6m to 1.5m). It's well exposed to south and southwest swells, which makes it fairly consistent. The cove can handle swell sizes from about 2ft to 5ft. You can expect left-breaking waves over a mix of lava, rock, and coral. The best wind conditions come from the north to northeast, with the preferred tide being low to mid. This spot is usually friendly for all levels—beginners will find it manageable, while intermediate and expert surfers can enjoy it as well when the conditions are right.

Getting to The Cove is easy; you can access it from Kalama Beach Park or Cove Beach Park. Crowds can be moderate, depending on the day of the week and the quality of the surf, so it’s hit or miss. The local vibe here is generally mellow, so it’s best to keep it cool and respect the other surfers. If you're looking for a spot that has potential year-round but is most consistent in the summer, The Cove is worth checking out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby The Cove

The Cove
Hawaii, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Ma'alaea Harbor
Hawaii, United States
Jetty break, Reef break, Point break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Ma'alaea Bay
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Little Beach
Hawaii, United States
Beach break, Reef break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Dumps
Hawaii, United States
Reef break, Point break
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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