The Point
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 08
Sunday 09
Monday 10
Tuesday 11
Wednesday 12
Thursday 13
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Puerto_Rico
Wind: GFS (20251107 18z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251107 18z)

The Point surf guide

The Point is part of the Maria's surf area, specifically the upper section that breaks above a prominent reef. This spot can offer some solid waves, particularly under the right conditions, but it’s not consistently amazing. When everything aligns, you can expect decent surf here, but there are days when it doesn’t quite hit the mark. Crowds can gather quickly, especially when the swell is good, so be prepared for competition in the water.

The surf at The Point usually breaks right and can handle swell sizes from 1.2 meters (4 ft) up to 3 meters (10 ft). With the right Northwest or North-Northwest swells, you might find that the wave shoulders up and offers some fun rides, especially during those strong seasons in autumn and winter. Lower tides tend to be better, and you’ll want wind coming from the North-East or anywhere in the E to get the best conditions. For beginners, it’s a bit tough due to the shape and the paddling effort required, but intermediates and experts will likely find it enjoyable when the waves are on.

Access to The Point is straightforward; you can park right there. Just be aware that once you’re in the water, you might encounter some local surfers who might not be overly friendly. The environment can sometimes be a bit messy after rains, so keep that in mind. Overall, it's a spot that can be fun and worth checking out, especially if you know when to go.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby The Point

Domes
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Point break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Indicators
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Indicators
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break, Point break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
The Point
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break, Point break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Maria's
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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