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Surf forecast for Flat Rock Ballina

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Timezone:
Australia/Sydney
Forecast updated:
03/07, 04:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260702 12z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260702 12z)
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Today Fri 03/07
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Flat Rock Ballina Surf Forecast Guide

Flat Rock Ballina is a well-known surf spot located on the New South Wales coast. It features a unique mix of a basalt reef and point break. The area is best surfed with a decent covering of sand, which is usually pushed in by the summer north-easterly winds. The surf scene here can be appealing, particularly for those looking for some righthanders, but it has its challenges and is more suited for intermediate surfers. The vibe is pretty laid back, making it a cool place to hang and catch some waves.

The optimal swell direction at Flat Rock is south-east, with the spot handling swell sizes up to about 3ft (around 1 meter). Itโ€™s best suited for favourable wind from the west, and you can expect the waves breaking predominantly right over a mix of rock ledge and sand. Some lefts can be found on the Angels Beach side, which are shorter and sharper, often preferred by bodyboarders. The waves can wall up nicely with straight east-southeast swells, but be aware that it can get a bit trickier around the corner at Lennox Head.

While you enjoy your surf, keep in mind that the sea life can be a bit alarming; this stretch is known to have a fair share of sharks. Thereโ€™s also a good campsite just behind the point, which offers a nice spot for surfers wanting to camp out after a day on the waves.

Surf spots near Flat Rock Ballina

Ballina South Wall
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Tue 7
Ballina North Wall
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Tue 7
Flat Rock Ballina
New South Wales, Australia
Reef break
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Tue 7
Lennox Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Tue 7
Broken Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mon 6
Tue 7

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina is usually best with swell from northeast through east-southeast to south (NE-ESE-S), ideally southeast (SE) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, west (W) offshore wind, and low to mid tide.

Where is the surf spot Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina is a surf spot in Skennars Head, New South Wales, Australia.

What is the surf break like at Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina is a right reef break over rock ledge and sand. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Flat Rock Ballina suitable for?

Flat Rock Ballina can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Flat Rock Ballina beginner friendly for surfing?

Flat Rock Ballina is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina has moderate surf consistency for New South Wales, Australia.

What facilities are available for surfers at Flat Rock Ballina?

Facilities for surfers at Flat Rock Ballina: camping.

Is there parking for surfing at Flat Rock Ballina?

Parking around Flat Rock Ballina: free parking, paid parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near Flat Rock Ballina?

Other nearby surf spots are Ballina North Wall, Lennox Head, Ballina South Wall, and Broken Head.

What swell direction works for surfing at Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina can work with swell from northeast through east-southeast to south (NE-ESE-S); southeast (SE) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Flat Rock Ballina?

West (W) offshore wind is usually best at Flat Rock Ballina.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Flat Rock Ballina?

West (W) is offshore at Flat Rock Ballina.

What tide works best for surfing at Flat Rock Ballina?

Flat Rock Ballina works best around low to mid tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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