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Surf forecast for Populars

Map showing Populars
Wwvs
1.4ft 3s.
5kJ
Swl 3
0.7ft 9s.
10kJ
Swl 2
1.2ft 10s.
44kJ
Swl 1
2.8ft 13s.
354kJ
Wnd
10mph
14mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Honolulu
Forecast updated:
11/10, 02:00 pm
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261011 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261011 06z)

Weather

Sunday 11/10

Water temperature
79ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
75โ€“79ยฐF
On shore
69โ€“83ยฐF
Moon phase
Waxing crescent
2% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 05:51 am
Tide range
0.1ft - 2.2ft
Low 09:51 pm ยท High 04:28 am
Next spring tide
Tue 27/10
2.5ft range
Next neap tide
Fri 16/10
1.3ft range

Timeline

Populars Surf Forecast Guide

Populars, or Pop's, is a long, curving stretch of reef in Waikiki, sitting just west of Canoes and a bit further out. It's a peak with a decent right that peels and swings down the line, throwing up a few bowly sections toward the inside, alongside a shorter, mushier left. Most days it's a mellow, user-friendly wave, but it can really come alive when a solid swell is running. The bottom is dead coral reef, so keep that in mind.

When It Works

The reef draws swell from anywhere between southwest and southeast, though it's usually best on a south to southwest swell. It works from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, holding size from waist high to well overhead. Summer is the season here, roughly April through October, and it stays moderately consistent across spring, summer, and autumn. Every so often it fires on a big south swell.

Wind and Tide

Look for a northeast offshore wind, with calm mornings or anything from the northwest through east keeping it clean. It breaks across low, mid, and high tide, with a rising tide generally the better call.

Local Tips

This is a fun intermediate wave that suits just about any board, from shortboards and fish to funboards, longboards, and bodyboards. Expect a busy lineup whenever it's working, as Waikiki stays crowded. The atmosphere is generally neutral, though the heavier crowd shows up when a solid south swell lines up. Watch for the reef, plenty of boards, and first-timers who can get in the way.

Access

Populars is easy to reach, sitting right in front of the Sheraton Waikiki Hotel, across the channel and east of Canoes. You'll find restrooms, showers, a lifeguard, plus a surf school and surf shop nearby. Parking options include a car park along with metered, roadside, and other paid and restricted spaces. The paddle out from the beach is long, but it's manageable once you're outside.

Surf spots near Populars

Waikiki Beach
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Queen's
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Queens/Canoes
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Populars
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15
Three's and Four's
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sun 11
Mon 12
Tue 13
Wed 14
Thu 15

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Populars?

Populars is usually best with southwest to southeast (SW-SE) swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Populars?

Populars is a surf spot in Honolulu, Hawaii, United States.

What is the surf break like at Populars?

Populars is a left-and-right reef break over dead coral. Expect a busy crowd and a neutral lineup.

What season is best for surfing Populars?

The main surf season at Populars is spring, summer, and autumn.

What surfing skill level is Populars suitable for?

Populars can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Populars beginner friendly for surfing?

Populars is better suited to intermediate surfers.

What surfboards work at Populars?

Shortboard, Funboard, Longboard, Fish, and Bodyboard are common choices at Populars.

How consistent is the surf at Populars?

Populars has moderate surf consistency for Hawaii, United States.

What facilities are available for surfers at Populars?

Facilities for surfers at Populars: restrooms, showers, lifeguard, surf school, and surf shop.

Is there parking for surfing at Populars?

Parking around Populars: paid parking, metered parking, roadside parking, car park, and restricted parking.

What surf spots are near Populars?

Other nearby surf spots are Three's and Four's, Queens/Canoes, Waikiki Beach, and Queen's.

What swell direction works for surfing at Populars?

Populars can work with swell from southwest to southeast (SW-SE).

What swell size works for surfing at Populars?

Populars usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Populars?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at Populars.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Populars?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Populars.

What tide works best for surfing at Populars?

Populars can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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