Baduska
Hourly
Confidence
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Bahia
Wind: GFS (20251102 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251102 06z)

Baduska surf guide

Baduska is a surf spot located where Baia do Pontal meets the sea. It features a right-handed wave that can stretch out along sandbanks in the west-facing section of Baduska, moving into the north-facing Concha. While you can find some decent rides here, linking them together can be a bit tricky, so don’t expect a continuous session every time you hit the water.

The optimal swell direction for Baduska is east, but it can also handle swells coming from the northeast and south. When the swell hits around 3 feet (about 0.9 meters), it generally breaks over sand. Most surfers can expect a right-hand wave that suits intermediate abilities. For the best conditions, look for winds coming from the west and try to surf during low to mid, or even high tides if the swell is right. Just keep in mind that it needs a solid east pulse to really get into Concha smoothly.

Surfing at Baduska might bring some interesting challenges with the wave's inconsistency and the need for the right swell conditions. It's a good idea to check the forecast before you head out to make sure you catch it at its best. The site also has a reputation for a few sharks lurking around, which is something to keep in mind while you’re out there.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Baduska

Avenida
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Baduska
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Praia Sul
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Jardim Atlantico
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Pedra da Cachorra
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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